Round of 16WomenOctober 15, 2026
Martinez / Martinez v Ustero / Sanchez
Pre-match odds
Upset68%
Avg Elo 1600
32%
Avg Elo 2034
Elo gap 434
Ustero / Sanchez won with a 32% chance — about 1 in 3.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Martinez / MartinezUstero / Sanchez
- Points won 58%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 49%
- 1st-serve points won 66%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 57%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 9
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 53%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 46%
- 1st-serve points won 58%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 48%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
Set 2
- Points won 66%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 52%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 47%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.