Round of 16WomenOctober 15, 2026
Jensen / Icardo v Fassio / Virseda
Pre-match odds
Jensen / Icardo
84%
Avg Elo 1914
Fassio / Virseda
16%
Avg Elo 1768
Elo gap 146
Jensen / Icardo delivered as 84% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Jensen / IcardoFassio / Virseda
- Points won 42%
- Points won on serve 54%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 55%
- 2nd-serve points won 43%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 67%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 9
58%
68%
46%
70%
33%
45%
57%
67%
7
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 45%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 27%
- 1st-serve points won 69%
- 2nd-serve points won 25%
- Points won returning 1st serve 25%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
55%
73%
36%
75%
0%
31%
75%
50%
7
6
Set 2
- Points won 37%
- Points won on serve 35%
- Points won on return 39%
- 1st-serve points won 29%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 50%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 3
63%
61%
65%
62%
50%
71%
33%
75%
5
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.