Round of 16WomenOctober 15, 2026
Rufo / Iglesias v Gonzalez / Josemaria
Pre-match odds
Rufo / Iglesias
6%
Avg Elo 1738
Gonzalez / Josemaria
94%
Avg Elo 1977
Elo gap 240
Gonzalez / Josemaria delivered as 94% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Rufo / IglesiasGonzalez / Josemaria
- Points won 55%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 45%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 47%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 15
45%
55%
33%
55%
53%
32%
50%
60%
7
14
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 49%
- Points won on serve 67%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 68%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 36%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 25%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
51%
65%
33%
64%
67%
32%
50%
100%
7
6
Set 2
- Points won 56%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 48%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
44%
52%
36%
55%
0%
37%
33%
33%
3
4
Set 3
- Points won 64%
- Points won on serve 74%
- Points won on return 57%
- 1st-serve points won 78%
- 2nd-serve points won 0%
- Points won returning 1st serve 56%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 75%
- Longest run of points 7
- Service games 4
36%
43%
26%
44%
33%
22%
100%
100%
3
4
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.