QuarterfinalWomenOctober 16, 2026
Brea / Triay v Velasco / Eugenio
Pre-match odds
Brea / Triay
95%
Avg Elo 2012
Velasco / Eugenio
5%
Avg Elo 1747
Elo gap 265
Brea / Triay delivered as 95% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Brea / TriayVelasco / Eugenio
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 51%
- Points won on return 36%
- 1st-serve points won 51%
- 2nd-serve points won 55%
- Points won returning 1st serve 34%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 60%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 10
56%
64%
49%
66%
40%
49%
45%
67%
6
10
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 38%
- Points won on serve 35%
- Points won on return 42%
- 1st-serve points won 36%
- 2nd-serve points won 25%
- Points won returning 1st serve 38%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 100%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
62%
58%
65%
62%
0%
64%
75%
60%
6
4
Set 2
- Points won 47%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 59%
- 2nd-serve points won 71%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 6
53%
68%
39%
68%
67%
41%
29%
100%
5
6
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.