The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenOctober 16, 2026

Salazar / Osoro v Ustero / Sanchez

Centre Court01:11

Pre-match odds

Salazar / Osoro

8%

Avg Elo 1824

Ustero / Sanchez

92%

Avg Elo 2034

Elo gap 210

Ustero / Sanchez delivered as 92% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Salazar / OsoroUstero / Sanchez

41%
Points won
59%
48%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
52%
49%
1st-serve points won
69%
43%
2nd-serve points won
50%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
51%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
67%
Break points converted
62%
4
Longest run of points
7
10
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

42%
Points won
58%
41%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
59%
38%
1st-serve points won
61%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
62%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
60%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 2

40%
Points won
60%
56%
Points won on serve
78%
22%
Points won on return
44%
63%
1st-serve points won
77%
33%
2nd-serve points won
100%
23%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
4

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.