SemifinalWomenOctober 17, 2026
Brea / Triay v Ustero / Sanchez
Pre-match odds
Brea / Triay
43%
Avg Elo 2014
Ustero / Sanchez
57%
Avg Elo 2038
Elo gap 24
Ustero / Sanchez delivered as 57% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Brea / TriayUstero / Sanchez
- Points won 62%
- Points won on serve 86%
- Points won on return 44%
- 1st-serve points won 83%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 42%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 57%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 9
38%
56%
14%
58%
43%
17%
0%
0%
4
8
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 65%
- Points won on serve 80%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 79%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 53%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 8
- Service games 4
35%
50%
20%
47%
100%
21%
0%
0%
4
3
Set 2
- Points won 59%
- Points won on serve 91%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 88%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 67%
- Break points converted 33%
- Longest run of points 6
- Service games 5
41%
59%
9%
65%
33%
12%
0%
0%
4
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.