FinalWomenOctober 18, 2026
Ustero / Sanchez v Gonzalez / Josemaria
Pre-match odds
Ustero / Sanchez
61%
Avg Elo 2060
Gonzalez / Josemaria
39%
Avg Elo 2022
Elo gap 38
Ustero / Sanchez delivered as 61% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Ustero / SanchezGonzalez / Josemaria
- Points won 48%
- Points won on serve 65%
- Points won on return 32%
- 1st-serve points won 64%
- 2nd-serve points won 67%
- Points won returning 1st serve 34%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 25%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 10
52%
68%
35%
66%
75%
36%
33%
50%
5
11
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 51%
- Points won on serve 68%
- Points won on return 35%
- 1st-serve points won 66%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 35%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 100%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 6
49%
65%
32%
65%
67%
34%
0%
50%
3
6
Set 2
- Points won 44%
- Points won on serve 59%
- Points won on return 29%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 32%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 17%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 4
56%
71%
41%
68%
83%
38%
67%
50%
5
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.