QuarterfinalMenOctober 23, 2026
Tello / Arce v Garcia / Fuertes
Win probability
Tello / Arce
92%
Avg Elo 1792
Garcia / Fuertes
8%
Avg Elo 1574
Elo gap 218
Tello / Arce are heavy favourites — they'd win more than 9 in 10.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These use today's Elo, so they move as results come in.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Point by point
Point by point appears here once the match is on court.