QuarterfinalMenOctober 23, 2026
Bautista / Bergamini v Dorta / Aliaga
Win probability
Bautista / Bergamini
90%
Avg Elo 1724
Dorta / Aliaga
10%
Avg Elo 1529
Elo gap 196
Bautista / Bergamini are strong favourites — they'd win about 9 in 10.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These use today's Elo, so they move as results come in.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Point by point
Point by point appears here once the match is on court.