The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenOctober 23, 2026

Lasgoity / Guy De Chamisso v Goñi / Alonso

Fri, Oct 23, 07:00 AMCourt 2

Win probability

Lasgoity / Guy De Chamisso

8%

Avg Elo 1524

Goñi / Alonso

92%

Avg Elo 1731

Elo gap 206

Goñi / Alonso are strong favourites — they'd win about 9 in 10.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These use today's Elo, so they move as results come in.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Point by point appears here once the match is on court.