The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenOctober 23, 2026

Ntanou / Piltcher v Caldera / Eugenio

Fri, Oct 23, 07:00 AMCourt 1

Win probability

Ntanou / Piltcher

2%

Avg Elo 1484

Caldera / Eugenio

98%

Avg Elo 1845

Elo gap 360

Caldera / Eugenio are heavy favourites — they'd win more than 9 in 10.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These use today's Elo, so they move as results come in.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Point by point appears here once the match is on court.