Round of 32MenOctober 23, 2026
Marques / Richters v Florensa / Muñoz
Pre-match odds
Marques / Richters
61%
Avg Elo 1517
Florensa / Muñoz
39%
Avg Elo 1479
Elo gap 38
Marques / Richters delivered as 61% favourites.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Marques / RichtersFlorensa / Muñoz
- Points won 36%
- Points won on serve 41%
- Points won on return 31%
- 1st-serve points won 43%
- 2nd-serve points won 29%
- Points won returning 1st serve 30%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 7
64%
69%
59%
70%
67%
57%
71%
86%
7
6
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 38%
- Points won on serve 45%
- Points won on return 28%
- 1st-serve points won 48%
- 2nd-serve points won 25%
- Points won returning 1st serve 27%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 33%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
62%
72%
55%
73%
67%
52%
75%
75%
7
3
Set 2
- Points won 34%
- Points won on serve 35%
- Points won on return 33%
- 1st-serve points won 35%
- 2nd-serve points won 33%
- Points won returning 1st serve 33%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 3
- Service games 3
66%
67%
65%
67%
0%
65%
67%
100%
6
3
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.