The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 23, 2026

Oviedo / Cassetta v Graziotti / Iacovino

Court 2 Nic

Pre-match odds

Oviedo / Cassetta

65%

Avg Elo 1530

Graziotti / Iacovino

35%

Avg Elo 1475

Elo gap 56

Graziotti / Iacovino won as slight underdogs (35%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Oviedo / CassettaGraziotti / Iacovino

38%
Points won
62%
41%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
59%
43%
1st-serve points won
68%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
57%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
50%
4
Longest run of points
6
7
Service games
6
Stats by set

Set 1

42%
Points won
58%
45%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
55%
45%
1st-serve points won
64%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
60%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Set 2

32%
Points won
68%
35%
Points won on serve
70%
30%
Points won on return
65%
39%
1st-serve points won
72%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
28%
Points won returning 1st serve
61%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
43%
2
Longest run of points
6
3
Service games
3

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.