The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 23, 2026

Lamperti / Alvarez v Ronco / Lacamoire

Court 1 Alghanim

Pre-match odds

Lamperti / Alvarez

33%

Avg Elo 1494

Ronco / Lacamoire

67%

Avg Elo 1557

Elo gap 64

Ronco / Lacamoire delivered as 67% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Lamperti / AlvarezRonco / Lacamoire

44%
Points won
56%
54%
Points won on serve
66%
34%
Points won on return
46%
57%
1st-serve points won
62%
33%
2nd-serve points won
89%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
11%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
33%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
8
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

40%
Points won
60%
52%
Points won on serve
73%
27%
Points won on return
48%
60%
1st-serve points won
67%
38%
2nd-serve points won
100%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
62%
0%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

46%
Points won
54%
55%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
45%
56%
1st-serve points won
59%
0%
2nd-serve points won
80%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
33%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
8
5
Service games
5

Point by point

No point-by-point for this match.

Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.