Round of 32MenOctober 23, 2026
Araujo / Graca v Sanchez / Rivas
Pre-match odds
UpsetAraujo / Graca
68%
Avg Elo 1607
Sanchez / Rivas
32%
Avg Elo 1540
Elo gap 67
Sanchez / Rivas won with a 32% chance — about 1 in 3.
How the odds work
Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.
These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.
Elo ratings: Padel API
Match stats
Araujo / GracaSanchez / Rivas
- Points won 52%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 41%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 71%
- Points won returning 1st serve 40%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 45%
- Break points converted 50%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 14
48%
59%
37%
60%
55%
38%
29%
57%
13
14
Stats by set
Set 1
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 64%
- Points won on return 50%
- 1st-serve points won 62%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 45%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 62%
- Break points converted 40%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 5
43%
50%
36%
55%
38%
38%
0%
50%
3
4
Set 2
- Points won 36%
- Points won on serve 63%
- Points won on return 13%
- 1st-serve points won 61%
- 2nd-serve points won 100%
- Points won returning 1st serve 14%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 0%
- Break points converted 0%
- Longest run of points 4
- Service games 4
64%
87%
37%
86%
100%
39%
0%
100%
13
5
Set 3
- Points won 57%
- Points won on serve 61%
- Points won on return 53%
- 1st-serve points won 63%
- 2nd-serve points won 50%
- Points won returning 1st serve 59%
- Points won returning 2nd serve 42%
- Break points converted 60%
- Longest run of points 5
- Service games 5
43%
47%
39%
41%
58%
37%
50%
50%
7
5
Point by point
No point-by-point for this match.
Points are captured live, as matches are played, so the archive builds forward from the tournaments we cover rather than backwards. Matches played before then have none.