The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 24, 2026

Graziotti / Iacovino v Ayats / Sanchez

G. GraziottiS. Iacovino
14
A. AyatsE. Sanchez
Winner
66
Center Court Bnk01:04

Pre-match odds

Graziotti / Iacovino

12%

Avg Elo 1514

Ayats / Sanchez

88%

Avg Elo 1683

Elo gap 170

Ayats / Sanchez delivered as 88% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Graziotti / IacovinoAyats / Sanchez

41%
Points won
59%
48%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
52%
49%
1st-serve points won
69%
33%
2nd-serve points won
50%
31%
Points won returning 1st serve
51%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
20%
Break points converted
56%
5
Longest run of points
7
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

35%
Points won
65%
41%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
59%
38%
1st-serve points won
81%
67%
2nd-serve points won
33%
19%
Points won returning 1st serve
62%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
60%
3
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
3

Set 2

47%
Points won
53%
55%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
45%
62%
1st-serve points won
62%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
33%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Graziotti / Iacovino first, Ayats / Sanchez second.

94 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Graziotti / Iacovino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Graziotti / Iacovino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Graziotti / Iacovino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–0
    5. 0–15
    6. 0–0
    7. 0–15
    8. 0–0
    9. 0–15
    10. 15–30
    11. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Graziotti / Iacovino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break

Set 24–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Graziotti / Iacovino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Graziotti / Iacovino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Graziotti / Iacovino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Graziotti / Iacovino serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Ayats / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 4–6

    Graziotti / Iacovino serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.