The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 24, 2026

Roglan / Aragon v Ronco / Lacamoire

A. RoglanM. Aragon
Winner
566
A. RoncoJ. Lacamoire
744
Court 1 Alghanim02:20

Pre-match odds

Roglan / Aragon

43%

Avg Elo 1548

Ronco / Lacamoire

57%

Avg Elo 1572

Elo gap 24

Roglan / Aragon won as slight underdogs (43%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Roglan / AragonRonco / Lacamoire

51%
Points won
49%
60%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
40%
64%
1st-serve points won
59%
45%
2nd-serve points won
50%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
36%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
55%
50%
Break points converted
31%
8
Longest run of points
5
16
Service games
16
Stats by set

Set 1

48%
Points won
52%
56%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
44%
62%
1st-serve points won
58%
29%
2nd-serve points won
100%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
71%
100%
Break points converted
30%
5
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
75%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
25%
84%
1st-serve points won
64%
40%
2nd-serve points won
25%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
16%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
67%
Break points converted
100%
8
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Set 3

50%
Points won
50%
55%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
45%
53%
1st-serve points won
57%
62%
2nd-serve points won
50%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
29%
Break points converted
20%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Roglan / Aragon first, Ronco / Lacamoire second.

159 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 15–7

Breaks 2–3

  1. 1–0

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    6. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    Break
  11. 5–6

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  12. 5–7

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break

Set 26–4

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 36–4

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 4–4

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–ABP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Ronco / Lacamoire serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Roglan / Aragon serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.