The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 24, 2026

Belluati / Abud v Deus / Deus

J. BelluatiM. Abud
Winner
566
M. DeusN. Deus
734
Court 2 Nic02:00

Pre-match odds

Upset
Belluati / Abud

32%

Avg Elo 1515

Deus / Deus

68%

Avg Elo 1581

Elo gap 66

Belluati / Abud won with a 32% chance — about 1 in 3.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Belluati / AbudDeus / Deus

54%
Points won
46%
72%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
28%
72%
1st-serve points won
66%
71%
2nd-serve points won
56%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
44%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
50%
Break points converted
100%
11
Longest run of points
4
15
Service games
16
Stats by set

Set 1

47%
Points won
53%
68%
Points won on serve
77%
23%
Points won on return
32%
71%
1st-serve points won
74%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Set 2

59%
Points won
41%
69%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
31%
62%
1st-serve points won
57%
100%
2nd-serve points won
33%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
5

Set 3

56%
Points won
44%
80%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
20%
84%
1st-serve points won
64%
67%
2nd-serve points won
60%
36%
Points won returning 1st serve
16%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
33%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Belluati / Abud first, Deus / Deus second.

147 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 15–7

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  12. 5–7

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40
    12. 40–40
    Break

Set 26–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0BP
    Break

Set 36–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–15
    7. 15–30
    8. 15–15
    9. 15–30
    10. 15–15
    11. 15–30
    12. 30–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Deus / Deus serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.