The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 24, 2026

Sanchez / Rivas v Patiniotis / Benitez

A. SanchezS. Rivas
61
A. PatiniotisM. Benitez
Winner
76
Court 1 Alghanim01:29

Pre-match odds

Sanchez / Rivas

60%

Avg Elo 1558

Patiniotis / Benitez

40%

Avg Elo 1522

Elo gap 36

Patiniotis / Benitez won as slight underdogs (40%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Sanchez / RivasPatiniotis / Benitez

42%
Points won
58%
48%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
52%
49%
1st-serve points won
67%
43%
2nd-serve points won
50%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
51%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
57%
33%
Break points converted
57%
4
Longest run of points
8
9
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
52%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
48%
51%
1st-serve points won
63%
60%
2nd-serve points won
50%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
49%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
33%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
8
6
Service games
6

Set 2

35%
Points won
65%
41%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
59%
45%
1st-serve points won
75%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
25%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
50%
2
Longest run of points
4
3
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Sanchez / Rivas first, Patiniotis / Benitez second.

110 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–7

Breaks 2–2

  1. 0–1

    Sanchez / Rivas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Sanchez / Rivas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Sanchez / Rivas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Sanchez / Rivas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Sanchez / Rivas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Sanchez / Rivas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Patiniotis / Benitez take it 7–3

    1. 0–1
    2. 0–2
    3. 0–3
    4. 1–3
    5. 1–4
    6. 1–5
    7. 2–5
    8. 2–6
    9. 3–6
    Tiebreak

Set 21–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Sanchez / Rivas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Sanchez / Rivas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Sanchez / Rivas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 0–15
    6. 15–15
    7. 15–30
    8. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 1–6

    Patiniotis / Benitez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.