The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 24, 2026

Groenveld / Betz v Ryzhova / Arriola

Court 3 Volvo00:59

Pre-match odds

Groenveld / Betz

40%

Avg Elo 1455

Ryzhova / Arriola

60%

Avg Elo 1489

Elo gap 34

Groenveld / Betz won as slight underdogs (40%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Groenveld / BetzRyzhova / Arriola

59%
Points won
41%
62%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
38%
70%
1st-serve points won
42%
30%
2nd-serve points won
50%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
70%
71%
Break points converted
14%
7
Longest run of points
3
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

62%
Points won
38%
67%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
33%
72%
1st-serve points won
38%
33%
2nd-serve points won
50%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
28%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
75%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
3
Service games
4

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
60%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
40%
68%
1st-serve points won
47%
29%
2nd-serve points won
50%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
71%
67%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Groenveld / Betz first, Ryzhova / Arriola second.

97 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Ryzhova / Arriola serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 0–15
    6. 15–15
    7. 30–15
    8. 15–15
    9. 30–15
    10. 15–15
    11. 30–15
    12. 15–15
    13. 30–15
    14. 30–30
    15. 40–30BP
    16. 40–40
    17. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 30–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Ryzhova / Arriola serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 0–15
    3. 15–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    9. 40–40
    10. 40–ABP
    11. 40–40
    12. 40–ABP
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Ryzhova / Arriola serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Ryzhova / Arriola serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 26–3

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Ryzhova / Arriola serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Ryzhova / Arriola serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    9. 40–40
    10. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Ryzhova / Arriola serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Ryzhova / Arriola serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.