The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 24, 2026

Ntanou / Piltcher v Val Lopez / Bahurel

Court 3 Volvo01:19

Pre-match odds

Ntanou / Piltcher

53%

Avg Elo 1508

Val Lopez / Bahurel

47%

Avg Elo 1499

Elo gap 9

Val Lopez / Bahurel won a near coin flip (47%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ntanou / PiltcherVal Lopez / Bahurel

41%
Points won
59%
46%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
54%
44%
1st-serve points won
66%
62%
2nd-serve points won
50%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
56%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
40%
Break points converted
62%
4
Longest run of points
6
8
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

34%
Points won
66%
48%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
52%
44%
1st-serve points won
88%
60%
2nd-serve points won
50%
12%
Points won returning 1st serve
56%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
0%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
6
3
Service games
4

Set 2

46%
Points won
54%
46%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
54%
44%
1st-serve points won
55%
67%
2nd-serve points won
50%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
56%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
40%
Break points converted
60%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Ntanou / Piltcher first, Val Lopez / Bahurel second.

90 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Ntanou / Piltcher serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 0–4

    Ntanou / Piltcher serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Break
  5. 0–5

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Ntanou / Piltcher serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold

Set 24–6

Breaks 2–3

  1. 0–1

    Ntanou / Piltcher serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Ntanou / Piltcher serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Ntanou / Piltcher serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Ntanou / Piltcher serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Ntanou / Piltcher serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.