The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 24, 2026

Dalal Alfares / Elena Bastante De Tomás v Rose / Lopez

Dalal AlfaresElena Bastante De Tomás
10
C. RoseR. Lopez
Winner
66
Center Court Bnk00:41

Pre-match odds

Upset
Dalal Alfares / Elena Bastante De Tomás

67%

Avg Elo 1550

Rose / Lopez

33%

Avg Elo 1487

Elo gap 63

Rose / Lopez won with a 33% chance — about 1 in 3.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Dalal Alfares / Elena Bastante De Tomás first, Rose / Lopez second.

59 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 1–0

    Dalal Alfares / Elena Bastante De Tomás serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Dalal Alfares / Elena Bastante De Tomás serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Dalal Alfares / Elena Bastante De Tomás serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 1–6

    Dalal Alfares / Elena Bastante De Tomás serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break

Set 20–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Dalal Alfares / Elena Bastante De Tomás serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 0–4

    Dalal Alfares / Elena Bastante De Tomás serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Break
  5. 0–5

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 0–6

    Dalal Alfares / Elena Bastante De Tomás serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.