The Padel Brief

Round of 16WomenOctober 24, 2026

Cortiles / Arellano v Navarro / Eugenio

A. CortilesM. Arellano
Winner
66
A. NavarroM. Eugenio
01
Court 1 Alghanim00:40

Pre-match odds

Cortiles / Arellano

69%

Avg Elo 1501

Navarro / Eugenio

31%

Avg Elo 1433

Elo gap 68

Cortiles / Arellano delivered as 69% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Cortiles / ArellanoNavarro / Eugenio

70%
Points won
30%
71%
Points won on serve
31%
69%
Points won on return
29%
73%
1st-serve points won
30%
60%
2nd-serve points won
40%
70%
Points won returning 1st serve
27%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
86%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
7
Stats by set

Set 1

68%
Points won
32%
64%
Points won on serve
25%
75%
Points won on return
36%
63%
1st-serve points won
21%
67%
2nd-serve points won
50%
79%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
100%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Set 2

71%
Points won
29%
81%
Points won on serve
37%
63%
Points won on return
19%
86%
1st-serve points won
38%
50%
2nd-serve points won
33%
62%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
75%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
4
3
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Cortiles / Arellano first, Navarro / Eugenio second.

55 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Navarro / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Cortiles / Arellano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Navarro / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Cortiles / Arellano serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Navarro / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Cortiles / Arellano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold

Set 26–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 0–1

    Navarro / Eugenio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Cortiles / Arellano serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Navarro / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Cortiles / Arellano serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Navarro / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Cortiles / Arellano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Navarro / Eugenio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.