The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenOctober 25, 2026

Ortiz / Ferreyra v Groenveld / Betz

A. OrtizM. Ferreyra
Winner
66
L. GroenveldM. Betz
10
Center Court Bnk00:43

Pre-match odds

Ortiz / Ferreyra

69%

Avg Elo 1555

Groenveld / Betz

31%

Avg Elo 1486

Elo gap 69

Ortiz / Ferreyra delivered as 69% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Ortiz / FerreyraGroenveld / Betz

71%
Points won
29%
74%
Points won on serve
33%
67%
Points won on return
26%
74%
1st-serve points won
39%
100%
2nd-serve points won
17%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
83%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
60%
Break points converted
50%
10
Longest run of points
3
7
Service games
6
Stats by set

Set 1

68%
Points won
32%
70%
Points won on serve
33%
67%
Points won on return
30%
68%
1st-serve points won
43%
100%
2nd-serve points won
14%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
86%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
50%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Set 2

73%
Points won
27%
80%
Points won on serve
32%
68%
Points won on return
20%
80%
1st-serve points won
35%
0%
2nd-serve points won
20%
65%
Points won returning 1st serve
20%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
10
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Ortiz / Ferreyra first, Groenveld / Betz second.

64 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40
    8. 30–30
    9. 30–40
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 5–0

    Groenveld / Betz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  6. 6–0

    Ortiz / Ferreyra serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.