The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenOctober 25, 2026

Val Lopez / Bahurel v Rose / Lopez

I. Val LopezL. Bahurel
Winner
66
C. RoseR. Lopez
32
Court 3 Volvo01:17

Pre-match odds

Val Lopez / Bahurel

49%

Avg Elo 1525

Rose / Lopez

51%

Avg Elo 1527

Elo gap 2

Val Lopez / Bahurel won a near coin flip (49%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Val Lopez / BahurelRose / Lopez

59%
Points won
41%
59%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
41%
60%
1st-serve points won
46%
50%
2nd-serve points won
14%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
86%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
67%
Break points converted
40%
9
Longest run of points
5
8
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
58%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
42%
60%
1st-serve points won
46%
50%
2nd-serve points won
20%
54%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
80%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
25%
9
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
5

Set 2

59%
Points won
41%
60%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
40%
60%
1st-serve points won
45%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
75%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Val Lopez / Bahurel first, Rose / Lopez second.

87 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  8. 5–3

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break

Set 26–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Val Lopez / Bahurel serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Rose / Lopez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.