The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalWomenOctober 25, 2026

Santos / Perez v Luttikhuis / Dubins

C. SantosL. Perez
576
B. LuttikhuisB. Dubins
Winner
757
Court 1 Alghanim03:26

Pre-match odds

Santos / Perez

39%

Avg Elo 1476

Luttikhuis / Dubins

61%

Avg Elo 1515

Elo gap 40

Luttikhuis / Dubins delivered as 61% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Santos / PerezLuttikhuis / Dubins

50%
Points won
50%
51%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
49%
53%
1st-serve points won
52%
36%
2nd-serve points won
43%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
64%
57%
Break points converted
57%
5
Longest run of points
5
18
Service games
18
Stats by set

Set 1

47%
Points won
53%
43%
Points won on serve
49%
51%
Points won on return
57%
45%
1st-serve points won
49%
25%
2nd-serve points won
50%
51%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
50%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

51%
Points won
49%
56%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
44%
61%
1st-serve points won
55%
20%
2nd-serve points won
0%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
75%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 3

51%
Points won
49%
54%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
46%
51%
1st-serve points won
52%
100%
2nd-serve points won
50%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
49%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Santos / Perez first, Luttikhuis / Dubins second.

198 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 15–7

Breaks 3–4

  1. 0–1

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40BP
    7. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  11. 5–6

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  12. 5–7

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold

Set 27–5

Breaks 3–2

  1. 0–1

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 1–5

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–A
    12. 40–40
    Break
  11. 6–5

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  12. 7–5

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 36–7

Breaks 2–2

  1. 0–1

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 1–2

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–A
    12. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Santos / Perez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Luttikhuis / Dubins serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Luttikhuis / Dubins take it 8–6

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 2–1
    4. 3–2
    5. 4–2
    6. 4–3
    7. 4–4
    8. 4–5
    9. 5–5
    10. 6–5
    11. 6–6
    12. 6–7
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.