The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenOctober 25, 2026

Gil / Valenzuela v Abbate / Dal Bianco

F. GilR. Valenzuela
31
F. AbbateF. Dal Bianco
Winner
66
Court 3 Volvo01:10

Pre-match odds

Gil / Valenzuela

48%

Avg Elo 1614

Abbate / Dal Bianco

52%

Avg Elo 1623

Elo gap 9

Abbate / Dal Bianco won a near coin flip (52%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gil / ValenzuelaAbbate / Dal Bianco

41%
Points won
59%
44%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
56%
45%
1st-serve points won
59%
33%
2nd-serve points won
86%
41%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
14%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
14%
Break points converted
62%
6
Longest run of points
8
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

44%
Points won
56%
44%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
56%
45%
1st-serve points won
53%
33%
2nd-serve points won
75%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
14%
Break points converted
60%
6
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
4

Set 2

35%
Points won
65%
44%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
56%
46%
1st-serve points won
67%
33%
2nd-serve points won
100%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
54%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
67%
3
Longest run of points
8
3
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Gil / Valenzuela first, Abbate / Dal Bianco second.

83 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 0–1

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–15
    6. 0–30
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 40–15
    3. 40–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 40–15BP
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  9. 3–6

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break

Set 21–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Gil / Valenzuela serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 1–6

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.