The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenOctober 25, 2026

Goenaga / Collado v Redha / Miñano

E. GoenagaG. Collado
Winner
66
A. RedhaP. Miñano
23
Center Court Bnk01:03

Pre-match odds

Goenaga / Collado

81%

Avg Elo 1614

Redha / Miñano

19%

Avg Elo 1486

Elo gap 128

Goenaga / Collado delivered as 81% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Goenaga / ColladoRedha / Miñano

59%
Points won
41%
75%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
25%
74%
1st-serve points won
56%
80%
2nd-serve points won
75%
44%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
43%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
5
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

64%
Points won
36%
84%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
16%
84%
1st-serve points won
50%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
16%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
0%
8
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
70%
Points won on serve
67%
33%
Points won on return
30%
68%
1st-serve points won
63%
80%
2nd-serve points won
100%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
50%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Goenaga / Collado first, Redha / Miñano second.

77 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Redha / Miñano serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 30–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Redha / Miñano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 40–30BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Redha / Miñano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Redha / Miñano serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Redha / Miñano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Redha / Miñano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40
    12. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Redha / Miñano serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Redha / Miñano serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.