The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenOctober 25, 2026

Nawaf / Nawaf v Capra / Sanchez

M. NawafR. Nawaf
20
L. CapraM. Sanchez
Winner
66
Center Court Bnk00:48

Pre-match odds

Nawaf / Nawaf

11%

Avg Elo 1423

Capra / Sanchez

89%

Avg Elo 1602

Elo gap 179

Capra / Sanchez delivered as 89% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Nawaf / NawafCapra / Sanchez

33%
Points won
67%
37%
Points won on serve
71%
29%
Points won on return
63%
39%
1st-serve points won
74%
20%
2nd-serve points won
50%
26%
Points won returning 1st serve
61%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
50%
Break points converted
55%
6
Longest run of points
8
7
Service games
7
0
Double faults
1
Stats by set

Set 1

40%
Points won
60%
43%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
57%
45%
1st-serve points won
62%
33%
2nd-serve points won
67%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
55%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
50%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
6
4
Service games
4

Set 2

22%
Points won
78%
28%
Points won on serve
86%
14%
Points won on return
72%
31%
1st-serve points won
92%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
8%
Points won returning 1st serve
69%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
60%
2
Longest run of points
6
3
Service games
3
0
Double faults
1

Point by point

Scores read Nawaf / Nawaf first, Capra / Sanchez second.

62 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. Point capture for this match was incomplete.

Set 12–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 0–1

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40BP
    6. 15–40BP
    7. 0–40BP
    Break
  8. 2–6

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 30–30
    3. 30–40
    4. 40–40
    5. 40–A
    Hold

Set 20–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 0–5

    Nawaf / Nawaf serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 0–6

    Capra / Sanchez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 0–6

    Capra / Sanchez serving

      —

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.