The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenOctober 25, 2026

Montiel / Santigosa v Ruiz / Gonzalez

A. MontielD. Santigosa
Winner
66
J. RuizJ. Gonzalez
42
Court 2 Nic01:13

Pre-match odds

Montiel / Santigosa

70%

Avg Elo 1682

Ruiz / Gonzalez

30%

Avg Elo 1610

Elo gap 72

Montiel / Santigosa delivered as 70% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Montiel / SantigosaRuiz / Gonzalez

57%
Points won
43%
69%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
31%
69%
1st-serve points won
57%
75%
2nd-serve points won
25%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
60%
Break points converted
0%
12
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
76%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
24%
78%
1st-serve points won
57%
50%
2nd-serve points won
33%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
0%
12
Longest run of points
3
5
Service games
5

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
63%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
37%
61%
1st-serve points won
57%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
39%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
0%
3
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Montiel / Santigosa first, Ruiz / Gonzalez second.

95 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Montiel / Santigosa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Montiel / Santigosa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

      Hold
    1. 4–2

      Montiel / Santigosa serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 40–0
      4. 40–15
      Hold
    2. 4–3

      Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 30–30
      5. 40–30BP
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–A
      8. 40–40
      9. 40–A
      10. 40–40
      Hold
    3. 5–3

      Montiel / Santigosa serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 15–30
      4. 30–30
      5. 40–30
      Hold
    4. 5–4

      Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

      1. 30–40
      2. 40–40
      Hold
    5. 6–4

      Montiel / Santigosa serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 0–0
      3. 15–0
      4. 30–0
      5. 15–0
      6. 30–0
      7. 30–15
      8. 30–30
      9. 30–40BP
      10. 40–40
      11. A–40
      12. 40–40
      Hold

    Set 26–2

    Breaks 2–0

    1. 1–0

      Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15BP
      5. 40–30BP
      Break
    2. 2–0

      Montiel / Santigosa serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 30–30
      5. 40–40
      6. A–40
      Hold
    3. 2–1

      Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 0–40
      Hold
    4. 3–1

      Montiel / Santigosa serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15
      Hold
    5. 3–2

      Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 15–30
      4. 15–15
      5. 15–30
      6. 15–40
      Hold
    6. 4–2

      Montiel / Santigosa serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 15–30
      4. 0–30
      5. 15–30
      6. 15–40BP
      7. 30–40BP
      8. 40–40
      9. 40–ABP
      10. 40–40
      11. 40–ABP
      12. 40–40
      Hold
    7. 5–2

      Ruiz / Gonzalez serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 30–30
      5. 40–30BP
      Break
    8. 6–2

      Montiel / Santigosa serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15
      5. 40–30
      Hold

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.