The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenOctober 25, 2026

Martinez / Hernandez v Belluati / Abud

J. MartinezL. Hernandez
625
J. BelluatiM. Abud
Winner
367
Court 3 Volvo02:43

Pre-match odds

Upset
Martinez / Hernandez

85%

Avg Elo 1688

Belluati / Abud

15%

Avg Elo 1539

Elo gap 149

Belluati / Abud won with a 15% chance — about 1 in 7.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Martinez / HernandezBelluati / Abud

49%
Points won
51%
54%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
46%
53%
1st-serve points won
55%
71%
2nd-serve points won
64%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
36%
Points won returning 2nd serve
29%
25%
Break points converted
30%
7
Longest run of points
7
15
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

59%
Points won
41%
75%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
25%
71%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
29%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Set 2

43%
Points won
57%
40%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
60%
42%
1st-serve points won
52%
0%
2nd-serve points won
67%
48%
Points won returning 1st serve
58%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
20%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 3

47%
Points won
53%
52%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
48%
51%
1st-serve points won
61%
67%
2nd-serve points won
50%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
49%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
17%
Break points converted
20%
4
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Martinez / Hernandez first, Belluati / Abud second.

181 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–30BP
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–A
    12. 40–40
    13. 40–A
    14. 40–40
    15. 40–A
    16. 40–40
    17. A–40BP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 22–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 0–1

    Belluati / Abud serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Martinez / Hernandez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Belluati / Abud serving

      Hold
    1. 1–3

      Martinez / Hernandez serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 0–40BP
      4. 15–40BP
      Break
    2. 1–4

      Belluati / Abud serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 15–30
      4. 15–40
      5. 30–40
      Hold
    3. 1–5

      Martinez / Hernandez serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 0–40BP
      4. 15–40BP
      5. 30–40BP
      6. 15–40BP
      7. 30–40BP
      8. 15–40BP
      9. 30–40BP
      Break
    4. 2–5

      Belluati / Abud serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–15
      3. 40–15BP
      4. 40–30BP
      Break
    5. 2–6

      Martinez / Hernandez serving

      1. 15–15
      2. 15–30
      3. 15–40BP
      Break

    Set 35–7

    Breaks 1–2

    1. 0–1

      Belluati / Abud serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 0–40
      4. 15–40
      5. 30–40
      Hold
    2. 0–2

      Martinez / Hernandez serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 30–30
      5. 30–40BP
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–ABP
      8. 40–40
      9. 40–ABP
      Break
    3. 0–3

      Belluati / Abud serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15BP
      5. 40–30BP
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–A
      8. 40–40
      9. 40–A
      Hold
    4. 1–3

      Martinez / Hernandez serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15
      Hold
    5. 2–3

      Belluati / Abud serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15BP
      5. 40–30BP
      Break
    6. 3–3

      Martinez / Hernandez serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 15–30
      4. 30–30
      5. 30–40BP
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–ABP
      8. 40–40
      9. 40–ABP
      10. 40–40
      Hold
    7. 3–4

      Belluati / Abud serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 15–30
      4. 30–30
      5. 15–30
      6. 30–30
      7. 40–30BP
      8. 40–40
      9. 40–A
      Hold
    8. 4–4

      Martinez / Hernandez serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 40–30
      4. 40–40
      5. 40–ABP
      6. 40–40
      7. 40–ABP
      8. 40–40
      9. 40–ABP
      10. 40–40
      Hold
    9. 4–5

      Belluati / Abud serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 15–30
      3. 30–30
      4. 40–30BP
      5. 40–40
      6. 40–A
      7. 40–40
      8. 40–A
      9. 40–40
      10. 40–A
      Hold
    10. 5–5

      Martinez / Hernandez serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 15–15
      3. 30–15
      4. 40–15
      5. 40–30
      6. 40–40
      7. A–40
      8. 40–40
      Hold
    11. 5–6

      Belluati / Abud serving

      1. 15–0
      2. 30–0
      3. 30–15
      4. 30–30
      5. 30–40
      Hold
    12. 5–7

      Martinez / Hernandez serving

      1. 0–15
      2. 0–30
      3. 0–40BP
      4. 15–40BP
      Break

    The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.