The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenOctober 25, 2026

Gala / Jensen v Chozas / Rubini

D. GalaE. Jensen
664
A. ChozasJ. Rubini
Winner
176
Court 1 Alghanim02:19

Pre-match odds

Gala / Jensen

62%

Avg Elo 1708

Chozas / Rubini

38%

Avg Elo 1664

Elo gap 44

Chozas / Rubini won as slight underdogs (38%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Gala / JensenChozas / Rubini

53%
Points won
47%
67%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
33%
70%
1st-serve points won
61%
20%
2nd-serve points won
50%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
30%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
80%
33%
Break points converted
33%
13
Longest run of points
5
15
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

71%
Points won
29%
84%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
16%
83%
1st-serve points won
44%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
56%
Points won returning 1st serve
17%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
13
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
3

Set 2

50%
Points won
50%
62%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
38%
67%
1st-serve points won
63%
0%
2nd-serve points won
40%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
17%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 3

48%
Points won
52%
65%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
35%
67%
1st-serve points won
67%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
33%
Points won returning 1st serve
33%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
50%
5
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Gala / Jensen first, Chozas / Rubini second.

160 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–7

Breaks 1–1

  1. 0–1

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    10. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 15–40
    2. 30–40
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 15–30
    7. 30–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  13. 6–7

    Chozas / Rubini take it 7–5

    1. 1–0
    2. 2–0
    3. 2–1
    4. 2–2
    5. 2–3
    6. 2–4
    7. 3–4
    8. 3–5
    9. 4–5
    10. 4–6
    11. 4–5
    12. 4–6
    13. 4–5
    14. 4–6
    15. 4–5
    16. 4–6
    17. 5–6
    18. 4–6
    19. 5–6
    Tiebreak

Set 34–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Gala / Jensen serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Chozas / Rubini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.