The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenOctober 25, 2026

Geens / Guichard v Cabeza / Gonzalez

C. GeensD. Guichard
23
F. CabezaM. Gonzalez
Winner
66
Court 1 Alghanim00:52

Pre-match odds

Geens / Guichard

58%

Avg Elo 1675

Cabeza / Gonzalez

42%

Avg Elo 1646

Elo gap 30

Cabeza / Gonzalez won as slight underdogs (42%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Geens / GuichardCabeza / Gonzalez

38%
Points won
62%
54%
Points won on serve
82%
18%
Points won on return
46%
53%
1st-serve points won
82%
60%
2nd-serve points won
80%
18%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
0%
Break points converted
80%
4
Longest run of points
8
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

32%
Points won
68%
45%
Points won on serve
80%
20%
Points won on return
55%
47%
1st-serve points won
78%
0%
2nd-serve points won
100%
22%
Points won returning 1st serve
53%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
0%
Break points converted
100%
2
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
4

Set 2

43%
Points won
57%
61%
Points won on serve
84%
16%
Points won on return
39%
58%
1st-serve points won
88%
75%
2nd-serve points won
67%
12%
Points won returning 1st serve
42%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
0%
Break points converted
67%
4
Longest run of points
5
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Geens / Guichard first, Cabeza / Gonzalez second.

58 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 12–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  8. 2–6

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40
    Hold

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 30–30
    2. 30–40BP
    3. 40–40
    4. 40–ABP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Geens / Guichard serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.