The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenOctober 25, 2026

Facundo Lopez / Ruiz v Lijo / Aguirre

Facundo LopezV. Ruiz
Winner
706
P. LijoT. Aguirre
562
Court 1 Alghanim02:06

Pre-match odds

Upset
Facundo Lopez / Ruiz

15%

Avg Elo 1551

Lijo / Aguirre

85%

Avg Elo 1705

Elo gap 154

Facundo Lopez / Ruiz won with a 15% chance — about 1 in 7.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Facundo Lopez / RuizLijo / Aguirre

50%
Points won
50%
56%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
44%
52%
1st-serve points won
55%
77%
2nd-serve points won
62%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
23%
50%
Break points converted
40%
5
Longest run of points
6
13
Service games
13
Stats by set

Set 1

54%
Points won
46%
64%
Points won on serve
57%
43%
Points won on return
36%
60%
1st-serve points won
53%
83%
2nd-serve points won
100%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
100%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
5
6
Service games
6

Set 2

34%
Points won
66%
29%
Points won on serve
62%
38%
Points won on return
71%
29%
1st-serve points won
62%
33%
2nd-serve points won
0%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
71%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
67%
0%
Break points converted
75%
3
Longest run of points
6
3
Service games
3

Set 3

56%
Points won
44%
60%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
40%
55%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
40%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
45%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Facundo Lopez / Ruiz first, Lijo / Aguirre second.

124 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published. Point capture for this match was incomplete.

Set 17–5

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Facundo Lopez / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Facundo Lopez / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Facundo Lopez / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Facundo Lopez / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Facundo Lopez / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  12. 7–5

    Facundo Lopez / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold

Set 20–6

Breaks 0–3

  1. 0–1

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Facundo Lopez / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 0–4

    Facundo Lopez / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  5. 0–5

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 0–6

    Facundo Lopez / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break

Set 35–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Facundo Lopez / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Facundo Lopez / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Facundo Lopez / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Lijo / Aguirre serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 5–2

    Facundo Lopez / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    —

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.