The Padel Brief

Round of 64MenOctober 25, 2026

Castillo / Hossam v Perino / Dominguez

Center Court Bnk01:16

Pre-match odds

Castillo / Hossam

23%

Avg Elo 1463

Perino / Dominguez

77%

Avg Elo 1567

Elo gap 104

Perino / Dominguez delivered as 77% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Castillo / HossamPerino / Dominguez

42%
Points won
58%
51%
Points won on serve
68%
32%
Points won on return
49%
49%
1st-serve points won
71%
62%
2nd-serve points won
40%
29%
Points won returning 1st serve
51%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
38%
50%
Break points converted
80%
5
Longest run of points
7
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

43%
Points won
57%
47%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
53%
53%
1st-serve points won
65%
25%
2nd-serve points won
0%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
50%
Break points converted
67%
5
Longest run of points
7
4
Service games
5

Set 2

41%
Points won
59%
52%
Points won on serve
84%
16%
Points won on return
48%
47%
1st-serve points won
82%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
18%
Points won returning 1st serve
53%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
0%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
7
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Castillo / Hossam first, Perino / Dominguez second.

103 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 13–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Castillo / Hossam serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    6. 30–0
    7. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–15
    7. 15–30
    8. 30–30
    9. 30–40
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Castillo / Hossam serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 30–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Castillo / Hossam serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Castillo / Hossam serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  9. 3–6

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    Hold

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 1–0

    Castillo / Hossam serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Castillo / Hossam serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Castillo / Hossam serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Castillo / Hossam serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Castillo / Hossam serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–ABP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.