The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 27, 2026

Tapia / Coello v Abbate / Dal Bianco

Center Court Bnk00:53

Pre-match odds

Tapia / Coello

99%

Avg Elo 2129

Abbate / Dal Bianco

1%

Avg Elo 1648

Elo gap 482

Tapia / Coello delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tapia / CoelloAbbate / Dal Bianco

65%
Points won
35%
78%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
22%
79%
1st-serve points won
43%
50%
2nd-serve points won
50%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
56%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
5
7
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

58%
Points won
42%
76%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
24%
76%
1st-serve points won
55%
0%
2nd-serve points won
33%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
50%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
5

Set 2

76%
Points won
24%
80%
Points won on serve
28%
72%
Points won on return
20%
85%
1st-serve points won
24%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
76%
Points won returning 1st serve
15%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
60%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
2
3
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Tapia / Coello first, Abbate / Dal Bianco second.

61 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 2–0

  1. 0–1

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 6–3

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 26–0

Breaks 3–0

  1. 1–0

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 30–15
    2. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 4–0

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 5–0

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 6–0

    Abbate / Dal Bianco serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.