The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 26, 2026

Navarro / Di Nenno v Montiel / Santigosa

F. NavarroM. Di Nenno
Winner
66
A. MontielD. Santigosa
23
Center Court Bnk01:28

Pre-match odds

Navarro / Di Nenno

80%

Avg Elo 1815

Montiel / Santigosa

20%

Avg Elo 1696

Elo gap 119

Navarro / Di Nenno delivered as 80% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Navarro / Di NennoMontiel / Santigosa

61%
Points won
39%
62%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
38%
63%
1st-serve points won
39%
60%
2nd-serve points won
57%
61%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
83%
Break points converted
29%
9
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

65%
Points won
35%
62%
Points won on serve
30%
70%
Points won on return
38%
76%
1st-serve points won
27%
25%
2nd-serve points won
40%
73%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
60%
Points won returning 2nd serve
75%
100%
Break points converted
50%
9
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

56%
Points won
44%
62%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
38%
52%
1st-serve points won
48%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
48%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
67%
Break points converted
20%
5
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Navarro / Di Nenno first, Montiel / Santigosa second.

88 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Navarro / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 15–30
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Montiel / Santigosa serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    7. 30–30
    8. 30–40
    9. 30–30
    10. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Navarro / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    Break
  4. 2–2

    Montiel / Santigosa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Navarro / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Montiel / Santigosa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break
  7. 5–2

    Navarro / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Montiel / Santigosa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 26–3

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Navarro / Di Nenno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 15–40BP
    7. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Montiel / Santigosa serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Navarro / Di Nenno serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 40–40
    4. 40–ABP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Montiel / Santigosa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Navarro / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Montiel / Santigosa serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Navarro / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Montiel / Santigosa serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Navarro / Di Nenno serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.