The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 26, 2026

Stupaczuk / Sanz v Fdz Lancha / Diestro

F. StupaczukJ. Sanz
Winner
67
A. Fdz LanchaJ. Diestro
26
Center Court Bnk01:40

Pre-match odds

Stupaczuk / Sanz

97%

Avg Elo 1939

Fdz Lancha / Diestro

3%

Avg Elo 1631

Elo gap 308

Stupaczuk / Sanz delivered as 97% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Stupaczuk / SanzFdz Lancha / Diestro

53%
Points won
47%
67%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
33%
69%
1st-serve points won
63%
40%
2nd-serve points won
44%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
15%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
6
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

60%
Points won
40%
76%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
24%
76%
1st-serve points won
53%
0%
2nd-serve points won
25%
47%
Points won returning 1st serve
24%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
29%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Set 2

49%
Points won
51%
64%
Points won on serve
69%
31%
Points won on return
36%
66%
1st-serve points won
70%
40%
2nd-serve points won
60%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
34%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
60%
0%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Stupaczuk / Sanz first, Fdz Lancha / Diestro second.

136 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Fdz Lancha / Diestro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40BP
    12. 40–40
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Fdz Lancha / Diestro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–15
    6. 0–30
    7. 15–30
    8. 30–30
    9. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Fdz Lancha / Diestro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Fdz Lancha / Diestro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 27–6

Breaks 0–0

  1. 0–1

    Fdz Lancha / Diestro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    6. 15–40
    7. 0–40
    8. 15–40
    9. 0–40
    10. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Fdz Lancha / Diestro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Fdz Lancha / Diestro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Fdz Lancha / Diestro serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Fdz Lancha / Diestro serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  10. 5–5

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  11. 5–6

    Fdz Lancha / Diestro serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  12. 6–6

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    9. 40–40
    10. A–40
    11. 40–40
    Hold
  13. 7–6

    Stupaczuk / Sanz take it 7–3

    1. 0–1
    2. 1–1
    3. 1–2
    4. 2–2
    5. 2–3
    6. 3–3
    7. 4–3
    8. 5–3
    9. 6–3
    Tiebreak

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.