The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 27, 2026

Goñi / Alonso v Cabeza / Gonzalez

A. GoñiE. Alonso
Winner
76
F. CabezaM. Gonzalez
51
Court 1 Alghanim01:16

Pre-match odds

Goñi / Alonso

62%

Avg Elo 1717

Cabeza / Gonzalez

38%

Avg Elo 1675

Elo gap 42

Goñi / Alonso delivered as 62% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Goñi / AlonsoCabeza / Gonzalez

58%
Points won
42%
64%
Points won on serve
47%
53%
Points won on return
36%
62%
1st-serve points won
45%
73%
2nd-serve points won
75%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
27%
42%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
6
10
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

53%
Points won
47%
56%
Points won on serve
49%
51%
Points won on return
44%
50%
1st-serve points won
47%
83%
2nd-serve points won
67%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
43%
Break points converted
25%
6
Longest run of points
6
6
Service games
6

Set 2

66%
Points won
34%
80%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
20%
87%
1st-serve points won
42%
60%
2nd-serve points won
100%
58%
Points won returning 1st serve
13%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
40%
Break points converted
0%
5
Longest run of points
2
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Goñi / Alonso first, Cabeza / Gonzalez second.

88 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 17–5

Breaks 3–2

  1. 1–0

    Goñi / Alonso serving

    1. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Goñi / Alonso serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    10. A–40BP
    11. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Goñi / Alonso serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Goñi / Alonso serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Goñi / Alonso serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  11. 6–5

    Goñi / Alonso serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  12. 7–5

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break

Set 26–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Goñi / Alonso serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Goñi / Alonso serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Goñi / Alonso serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Cabeza / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Goñi / Alonso serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.