The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 26, 2026

Campagnolo / Gonzalez v Zamora / Sintes

L. CampagnoloM. Gonzalez
465
J. ZamoraM. Sintes
Winner
637
Court 1 Alghanim02:20

Pre-match odds

Upset
Campagnolo / Gonzalez

75%

Avg Elo 1775

Zamora / Sintes

25%

Avg Elo 1680

Elo gap 96

Zamora / Sintes won with a 25% chance — about 1 in 4.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Campagnolo / GonzalezZamora / Sintes

50%
Points won
50%
58%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
42%
60%
1st-serve points won
62%
46%
2nd-serve points won
44%
38%
Points won returning 1st serve
40%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
54%
31%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
4
16
Service games
15
Stats by set

Set 1

45%
Points won
55%
53%
Points won on serve
64%
36%
Points won on return
47%
53%
1st-serve points won
68%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
33%
Break points converted
40%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

58%
Points won
42%
73%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
27%
75%
1st-serve points won
65%
67%
2nd-serve points won
33%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
25%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
20%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 3

48%
Points won
52%
51%
Points won on serve
56%
44%
Points won on return
49%
56%
1st-serve points won
54%
0%
2nd-serve points won
62%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
40%
Break points converted
30%
4
Longest run of points
4
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Campagnolo / Gonzalez first, Zamora / Sintes second.

180 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 14–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 0–1

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–ABP
    12. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold

Set 26–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    6. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold

Set 35–7

Breaks 2–3

  1. 0–1

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–30
    2. 15–40
    3. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15BP
    7. 40–30BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  7. 3–4

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–0
    7. 30–15
    8. 30–0
    9. 40–15
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  11. 5–6

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  12. 5–7

    Campagnolo / Gonzalez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40BP
    6. 15–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.