The Padel Brief

Round of 32MenOctober 26, 2026

Rodrigo / Ruiz v Ruiz / Garcia

F. RodrigoV. Ruiz
43
A. RuizJ. Garcia
Winner
66
Court 2 Nic01:21

Pre-match odds

Rodrigo / Ruiz

42%

Avg Elo 1625

Ruiz / Garcia

58%

Avg Elo 1652

Elo gap 28

Ruiz / Garcia delivered as 58% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Rodrigo / RuizRuiz / Garcia

44%
Points won
56%
50%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
50%
48%
1st-serve points won
58%
60%
2nd-serve points won
89%
42%
Points won returning 1st serve
52%
11%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
50%
Break points converted
42%
4
Longest run of points
6
10
Service games
9
1
Double faults
0
Stats by set

Set 1

46%
Points won
54%
63%
Points won on serve
74%
26%
Points won on return
37%
62%
1st-serve points won
70%
67%
2nd-serve points won
86%
30%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
14%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
0%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Set 2

42%
Points won
58%
38%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
62%
37%
1st-serve points won
48%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
52%
Points won returning 1st serve
63%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
50%
Break points converted
44%
3
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
4
1
Double faults
0

Point by point

Scores read Rodrigo / Ruiz first, Ruiz / Garcia second.

103 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 14–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 1–0

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Ruiz / Garcia serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Ruiz / Garcia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Ruiz / Garcia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Ruiz / Garcia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–0
    3. 0–15
    4. 15–15
    5. 0–15
    6. 15–15
    7. 0–15
    8. 15–15
    9. 30–15
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Ruiz / Garcia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold

Set 23–6

Breaks 2–4

  1. 0–1

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Ruiz / Garcia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  4. 1–3

    Ruiz / Garcia serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  5. 2–3

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–40BP
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Ruiz / Garcia serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 0–0
    5. 15–0
    6. 0–0
    7. 15–0
    8. 15–15
    9. 15–0
    10. 15–15
    11. 15–30
    12. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Ruiz / Garcia serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  9. 3–6

    Rodrigo / Ruiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.