The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 28, 2026

Tapia / Coello v Goenaga / Collado

A. TapiaA. Coello
Winner
66
E. GoenagaG. Collado
21
Center Court Bnk00:48

Pre-match odds

Tapia / Coello

99%

Avg Elo 2129

Goenaga / Collado

1%

Avg Elo 1657

Elo gap 473

Tapia / Coello delivered as 99% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Tapia / Coello first, Goenaga / Collado second.

72 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–1

Breaks 3–0

  1. 0–1

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–15
    5. 40–15BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    6. 40–15
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 6–1

    Goenaga / Collado serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.