The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 28, 2026

Bautista / Bergamini v Nieto / Yanguas

J. BautistaL. Bergamini
Winner
166
J. NietoM. Yanguas
642
Court 2 Nic02:03

Pre-match odds

Bautista / Bergamini

41%

Avg Elo 1786

Nieto / Yanguas

59%

Avg Elo 1818

Elo gap 32

Bautista / Bergamini won as slight underdogs (41%).

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Point by point

Scores read Bautista / Bergamini first, Nieto / Yanguas second.

136 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 11–6

Breaks 0–2

  1. 0–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  6. 1–5

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–30
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–ABP
    9. 40–40
    Break
  7. 1–6

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Hold

Set 26–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–15BP
    7. 40–30BP
    Break

Set 36–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Nieto / Yanguas serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.