The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 28, 2026

Alfonso / Libaak v Lebron / Augsburger

G. AlfonsoT. Libaak
Winner
476
J. LebronL. Augsburger
651
Center Court Bnk02:08

Pre-match odds

Upset
Alfonso / Libaak

26%

Avg Elo 1821

Lebron / Augsburger

74%

Avg Elo 1914

Elo gap 93

Alfonso / Libaak won with a 26% chance — about 1 in 4.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Alfonso / LibaakLebron / Augsburger

52%
Points won
48%
61%
Points won on serve
59%
41%
Points won on return
39%
59%
1st-serve points won
60%
68%
2nd-serve points won
44%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
41%
56%
Points won returning 2nd serve
32%
50%
Break points converted
50%
7
Longest run of points
7
15
Service games
14
Stats by set

Set 1

46%
Points won
54%
54%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
46%
53%
1st-serve points won
61%
56%
2nd-serve points won
67%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
47%
33%
Points won returning 2nd serve
44%
33%
Break points converted
100%
3
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 2

49%
Points won
51%
61%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
39%
57%
1st-serve points won
65%
75%
2nd-serve points won
50%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
40%
Break points converted
33%
4
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Set 3

65%
Points won
35%
71%
Points won on serve
44%
56%
Points won on return
29%
68%
1st-serve points won
50%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Alfonso / Libaak first, Lebron / Augsburger second.

142 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 14–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 1–0

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  8. 3–5

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  9. 4–5

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 40–0
    6. 40–15
    7. 40–30
    Hold
  10. 4–6

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 27–5

Breaks 2–1

  1. 1–0

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 0–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40BP
    9. 40–40
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  12. 7–5

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break

Set 36–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Lebron / Augsburger serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.