The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 28, 2026

Stupaczuk / Sanz v Jofre / Esbri

F. StupaczukJ. Sanz
Winner
67
I. JofreJ. Esbri
25
Center Court Bnk01:18

Pre-match odds

Stupaczuk / Sanz

92%

Avg Elo 1940

Jofre / Esbri

8%

Avg Elo 1731

Elo gap 209

Stupaczuk / Sanz delivered as 92% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Stupaczuk / SanzJofre / Esbri

60%
Points won
40%
64%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
36%
62%
1st-serve points won
47%
83%
2nd-serve points won
0%
53%
Points won returning 1st serve
38%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
55%
Break points converted
50%
7
Longest run of points
7
10
Service games
10
Stats by set

Set 1

64%
Points won
36%
84%
Points won on serve
50%
50%
Points won on return
16%
84%
1st-serve points won
50%
0%
2nd-serve points won
0%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
16%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

57%
Points won
43%
55%
Points won on serve
41%
59%
Points won on return
45%
50%
1st-serve points won
43%
83%
2nd-serve points won
0%
57%
Points won returning 1st serve
50%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
17%
80%
Break points converted
50%
6
Longest run of points
7
6
Service games
6

Point by point

Scores read Stupaczuk / Sanz first, Jofre / Esbri second.

95 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    Hold
  2. 2–0

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  3. 3–0

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break

Set 27–5

Breaks 4–3

  1. 0–1

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–15
    5. 15–30
    6. 15–40
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  7. 4–3

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  9. 5–4

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  10. 5–5

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  11. 6–5

    Stupaczuk / Sanz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  12. 7–5

    Jofre / Esbri serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.