The Padel Brief

Round of 16MenOctober 28, 2026

Tello / Arce v Perino / Dominguez

J. TelloM. Arce
Winner
636
D. PerinoF. Dominguez
361
Court 3 Volvo02:11

Pre-match odds

Tello / Arce

88%

Avg Elo 1773

Perino / Dominguez

12%

Avg Elo 1601

Elo gap 173

Tello / Arce delivered as 88% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tello / ArcePerino / Dominguez

55%
Points won
45%
63%
Points won on serve
54%
46%
Points won on return
37%
63%
1st-serve points won
54%
67%
2nd-serve points won
57%
46%
Points won returning 1st serve
37%
43%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
80%
Break points converted
33%
5
Longest run of points
4
13
Service games
12
Stats by set

Set 1

59%
Points won
41%
74%
Points won on serve
60%
40%
Points won on return
26%
79%
1st-serve points won
61%
0%
2nd-serve points won
50%
39%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
100%
100%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
4

Set 2

46%
Points won
54%
58%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
42%
54%
1st-serve points won
65%
80%
2nd-serve points won
50%
35%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
50%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
0%
Break points converted
25%
5
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
5

Set 3

62%
Points won
38%
57%
Points won on serve
30%
70%
Points won on return
43%
54%
1st-serve points won
26%
100%
2nd-serve points won
100%
74%
Points won returning 1st serve
46%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
100%
Break points converted
100%
5
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Point by point

Scores read Tello / Arce first, Perino / Dominguez second.

155 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–3

Breaks 1–0

  1. 1–0

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–15
    4. 30–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 30–40
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–15
    4. 0–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 3–3

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  9. 6–3

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

Set 23–6

Breaks 0–1

  1. 0–1

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 30–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–ABP
    12. 40–40
    Hold
  3. 1–2

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–ABP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  5. 1–4

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  7. 2–5

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. 40–A
    Hold
  8. 3–5

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  9. 3–6

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    11. 40–A
    Hold

Set 36–1

Breaks 3–1

  1. 0–1

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  2. 1–1

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    4. 30–40
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–A
    7. 40–40
    8. 40–A
    9. 40–40
    Break
  3. 2–1

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Perino / Dominguez serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 15–30
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40
    12. 40–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.