The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenOctober 29, 2026

Tapia / Coello v Bautista / Bergamini

A. TapiaA. Coello
Winner
66
J. BautistaL. Bergamini
14
Center Court Bnk01:00

Pre-match odds

Tapia / Coello

98%

Avg Elo 2129

Bautista / Bergamini

2%

Avg Elo 1796

Elo gap 333

Tapia / Coello delivered as 98% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tapia / CoelloBautista / Bergamini

57%
Points won
43%
68%
Points won on serve
53%
47%
Points won on return
32%
65%
1st-serve points won
51%
86%
2nd-serve points won
62%
49%
Points won returning 1st serve
35%
38%
Points won returning 2nd serve
14%
50%
Break points converted
100%
7
Longest run of points
9
9
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

68%
Points won
32%
80%
Points won on serve
45%
55%
Points won on return
20%
78%
1st-serve points won
33%
100%
2nd-serve points won
80%
67%
Points won returning 1st serve
22%
20%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
0%
7
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
3

Set 2

51%
Points won
49%
60%
Points won on serve
58%
42%
Points won on return
40%
56%
1st-serve points won
60%
80%
2nd-serve points won
33%
40%
Points won returning 1st serve
44%
67%
Points won returning 2nd serve
20%
67%
Break points converted
100%
6
Longest run of points
9
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Tapia / Coello first, Bautista / Bergamini second.

84 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–1

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  4. 3–1

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    4. 40–0
    5. 40–15
    6. 40–30
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    Break
  7. 6–1

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15
    Hold

Set 26–4

Breaks 2–1

  1. 0–1

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  2. 0–2

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  3. 0–3

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  4. 1–3

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 3–3

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–30
    4. 40–40
    5. A–40
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–0
    4. 15–15
    5. 30–30
    6. 40–30
    7. 40–40
    8. A–40
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Bautista / Bergamini serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 30–30
    7. 40–30BP
    Break
  10. 6–4

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.