The Padel Brief

QuarterfinalMenOctober 29, 2026

Zamora / Sintes v Tello / Arce

J. ZamoraM. Sintes
42
J. TelloM. Arce
Winner
66
Court 1 Alghanim01:07

Pre-match odds

Zamora / Sintes

31%

Avg Elo 1711

Tello / Arce

69%

Avg Elo 1778

Elo gap 68

Tello / Arce delivered as 69% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Zamora / SintesTello / Arce

42%
Points won
58%
47%
Points won on serve
63%
37%
Points won on return
53%
46%
1st-serve points won
66%
67%
2nd-serve points won
43%
34%
Points won returning 1st serve
54%
57%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
33%
Break points converted
83%
5
Longest run of points
8
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

48%
Points won
52%
57%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
43%
57%
1st-serve points won
68%
50%
2nd-serve points won
0%
32%
Points won returning 1st serve
43%
100%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
33%
Break points converted
100%
4
Longest run of points
6
5
Service games
5

Set 2

35%
Points won
65%
35%
Points won on serve
65%
35%
Points won on return
65%
32%
1st-serve points won
63%
100%
2nd-serve points won
75%
37%
Points won returning 1st serve
68%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
33%
Break points converted
75%
5
Longest run of points
8
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Zamora / Sintes first, Tello / Arce second.

85 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 14–6

Breaks 1–2

  1. 1–0

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Hold
  5. 2–3

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    5. 40–30
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–ABP
    Break
  6. 2–4

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    Hold
  7. 3–4

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  8. 4–4

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 30–15
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    Break
  9. 4–5

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  10. 4–6

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    4. 15–40
    Hold

Set 22–6

Breaks 1–3

  1. 0–1

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40BP
    Break
  2. 0–2

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  3. 0–3

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    Break
  4. 0–4

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  5. 1–4

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40
    Hold
  6. 2–4

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–15BP
    4. 40–30BP
    5. 40–40
    6. A–40BP
    Break
  7. 2–5

    Zamora / Sintes serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40BP
    Break
  8. 2–6

    Tello / Arce serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.