The Padel Brief

SemifinalMenOctober 30, 2026

Tapia / Coello v Alfonso / Libaak

A. TapiaA. Coello
Winner
66
G. AlfonsoT. Libaak
22
Center Court Bnk00:55

Pre-match odds

Tapia / Coello

95%

Avg Elo 2130

Alfonso / Libaak

5%

Avg Elo 1874

Elo gap 256

Tapia / Coello delivered as 95% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Tapia / CoelloAlfonso / Libaak

62%
Points won
38%
74%
Points won on serve
48%
52%
Points won on return
26%
74%
1st-serve points won
50%
75%
2nd-serve points won
25%
50%
Points won returning 1st serve
26%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
25%
56%
Break points converted
33%
8
Longest run of points
5
8
Service games
8
Stats by set

Set 1

62%
Points won
38%
80%
Points won on serve
55%
45%
Points won on return
20%
79%
1st-serve points won
55%
100%
2nd-serve points won
0%
45%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
0%
40%
Break points converted
0%
6
Longest run of points
5
4
Service games
4

Set 2

62%
Points won
38%
68%
Points won on serve
42%
58%
Points won on return
32%
68%
1st-serve points won
45%
67%
2nd-serve points won
25%
55%
Points won returning 1st serve
32%
75%
Points won returning 2nd serve
33%
75%
Break points converted
33%
8
Longest run of points
3
4
Service games
4

Point by point

Scores read Tapia / Coello first, Alfonso / Libaak second.

78 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 2–0

  1. 1–0

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 40–30
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 4–0

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  5. 4–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40
    Hold
  6. 5–1

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold

Set 26–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 0–0
    3. 15–0
    4. 30–0
    5. 30–15
    6. 40–15BP
    7. 40–30BP
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 3–0

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–15
    6. 30–30
    7. 30–15
    8. 30–30
    9. 30–40
    10. 40–40
    11. A–40BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–30
    3. 15–40BP
    4. 30–40BP
    5. 40–40
    6. 40–ABP
    Break
  5. 4–1

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    Break
  6. 5–1

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Alfonso / Libaak serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–0
    5. 15–15
    6. 15–30
    7. 15–40
    8. 30–40
    Hold
  8. 6–2

    Tapia / Coello serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.