The Padel Brief

Round of 64WomenOctober 26, 2026

Talavan / Saiz v Lopez / Fassio

M. TalavanS. Saiz
Winner
66
A. LopezC. Fassio
24
Court 2 Nic01:10

Pre-match odds

Talavan / Saiz

57%

Avg Elo 1666

Lopez / Fassio

43%

Avg Elo 1640

Elo gap 26

Talavan / Saiz delivered as 57% favourites.

How the odds work

Each pair's strength is the average of its two players' Elo ratings. A 100-point gap makes the stronger pair a 76% favourite; 200 points, 91%. The model is calibrated on 7,500+ pro matches: when it says 70%, the favourite wins about 70% of the time.

These are the odds going into the match day, on the Elo each player carried in, so the result does not leak into them.

Elo ratings: Padel API

Match stats

Talavan / SaizLopez / Fassio

59%
Points won
41%
76%
Points won on serve
52%
48%
Points won on return
24%
79%
1st-serve points won
49%
57%
2nd-serve points won
75%
51%
Points won returning 1st serve
21%
25%
Points won returning 2nd serve
43%
40%
Break points converted
100%
11
Longest run of points
4
9
Service games
9
Stats by set

Set 1

61%
Points won
39%
67%
Points won on serve
43%
57%
Points won on return
33%
69%
1st-serve points won
40%
60%
2nd-serve points won
60%
60%
Points won returning 1st serve
31%
40%
Points won returning 2nd serve
40%
43%
Break points converted
100%
11
Longest run of points
4
4
Service games
4

Set 2

58%
Points won
42%
83%
Points won on serve
61%
39%
Points won on return
17%
86%
1st-serve points won
57%
50%
2nd-serve points won
100%
43%
Points won returning 1st serve
14%
0%
Points won returning 2nd serve
50%
33%
Break points converted
0%
4
Longest run of points
4
5
Service games
5

Point by point

Scores read Talavan / Saiz first, Lopez / Fassio second.

84 points shown — the point that wins each game is never published.

Set 16–2

Breaks 3–1

  1. 1–0

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Break
  2. 2–0

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0
    4. 40–15
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 30–30
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  4. 2–2

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–30
    4. 30–40BP
    Break
  5. 3–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    6. 40–40
    7. A–40BP
    Break
  6. 4–2

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  7. 5–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 40–0BP
    4. 40–15BP
    Break
  8. 6–2

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–30
    Hold

Set 26–4

Breaks 1–0

  1. 0–1

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    6. 40–40
    7. 40–A
    8. 40–40
    9. A–40BP
    10. 40–40
    Hold
  2. 1–1

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  3. 2–1

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30BP
    Break
  4. 3–1

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 30–30
    5. 40–30
    Hold
  5. 3–2

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  6. 4–2

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    3. 30–15
    Hold
  7. 4–3

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 0–30
    3. 0–40
    Hold
  8. 5–3

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 15–0
    2. 30–0
    Hold
  9. 5–4

    Lopez / Fassio serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 15–30
    4. 15–40
    5. 30–40
    Hold
  10. 6–4

    Talavan / Saiz serving

    1. 0–15
    2. 15–15
    3. 30–15
    4. 40–15
    Hold

The point that wins a game is never published by the source feed, so the winner of each game is derived from the next game's score. Where the feed had a gap, no winner is claimed.